Archives: October 2007, December 2007, January 2008, February 2008, May 2008, June 2008, July 2008, August 2008, September 2008, November 2008, January 2009, February 2009, March 2009, April 2009, May 2009, June 2009, July 2009, August 2009, October 2009, November 2009, January 2010, February 2010, March 2010, April 2010, June 2010, August 2010, October 2010, January 2011, July 2011, October 2011, November 2011, February 2012, March 2012, April 2012, July 2012, August 2012, October 2012, December 2012, June 2013, July 2013, October 2013, November 2013, February 2014, June 2014, July 2014, June 2015, February 2016
My Blogs

salvotim What a night! - Subscribe
Last night I went to the Casino. (This was my first time at Wrest Point Casino). I spent a couple of hours in the tally room for the Tasmanian Election. The result was almost as close to a dead heat as possible. It looked like the result was 10 each to Labor & Liberals & 5 to the greens.

This is my first state election in Tasmania so I'm just getting used to this fascinating voting system. Tasmania's lover house has five electorates with five members in each. Thus 14 seats is a majority. Since Labor & the Liberals have both ruled out forming a coalition with the greens, the party with the most seats will form government. In the event of a tie, Premier Bartlett has said that the party with the most votes statewide should form government.

Tasmania's voting system is called the hare-Clark system. Basically it excludes lower ranking candidates & reallocates their votes until five get a quota. When a candidate gets a quota their surplus votes are also reallocated in order of the preferences. This complex system means it will be a week or two until the final outcomes are known.

The tally for 3 seats is certain. Bass, Franklin & Lyons will each have 2 Labor, 2 Liberal & 1 green members. In Braddon 2 Labor & 2 Liberals will be elected. The 5th seat will be won by either the greens or the Liberals. In Denison 2 Labor, 1 green & 1 Liberal are sure to be elected. The 5th seat will be either a green, Liberal or Independent member, Andrew Wilkie.

I tentitively predict the final tally will be Labor 10, Liberals 10, greens 4 & Wilke 1. If this occurs, the ALP or Liberals could reach an agreement to govern with the support of ex-greens candidate Andrew Wilkie!!!
Mood: amazed